Brian Bailey Preface to the Revised Edition

Bounce House

Four new polls were released today, three of which held great news for the President.

Bush 48% - Kerry 44% > Zogby
Bush 49% - Kerry 46% > Rasmussen
Bush 47% - Kerry 44% > TIPP
Bush 48% - Kerry 48% > Washington Post/ABC

Here's the latest Electoral Vote Predictor, which shows Bush with 284, a slim margin above the 270 necessary.

Why does it seem unlikely we'll be reading about a post-debate bounce for Bush?